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Agentic Commerce Is Here — But Only 23% of Merchants Can See It. Can You?

Agentic Commerce Is Here — But Only 23% of Merchants Can See It. Can You?

Something is changing at your checkout, and there's a good chance you can't see it yet. Shoppers are no longer the only ones browsing your store and filling carts — AI assistants are starting to do it for them. This shift has a name: agentic commerce. And according to new research, most merchants are already living through it without realizing it.

Here at TCB Pay, we want you to feel confident and in control as the way people pay continues to evolve. So let's break down what agentic commerce actually is, why visibility matters more than hype right now, and what you can do today to stay ahead of it.

 

What is agentic commerce?

Agentic commerce is what happens when an AI "agent" — think of a smart shopping assistant — is given authority to carry out parts of a purchase on a customer's behalf. Instead of a person clicking through every step, the shopper tells an assistant what they want, and the agent researches products, compares options, and in some cases moves toward completing the transaction.

The key word is authority. In agentic commerce, the customer's instructions to their assistant become part of the payment equation. That's a meaningful change from the traditional model where one human makes one decision at one checkout.

 

The visibility problem: only 23% of merchants can see it

Here's the part every business owner should pay attention to. Recent PYMNTS Intelligence research, commissioned by Visa Acceptance Solutions, found that only 23% of merchants can clearly identify both AI-driven traffic and the purchases it generates. Another 21% can recognize that agentic traffic is arriving — but can't connect it to completed sales.

Read that again: more than three out of four merchants can't fully see AI-driven activity flowing through their own stores.

Why does that matter? Because you can't manage what you can't measure. If you don't know which visits and orders are coming through AI agents, you can't:

  • Understand where your sales are actually coming from
  • Spot unusual patterns before they become a problem
  • Tell a legitimate agent-assisted purchase apart from a bad actor

 

Why "not all bots are bad" is a big deal

For years, the rule of thumb in payments was simple: bot traffic is suspicious traffic. Agentic commerce changes that assumption. A growing share of automated activity now comes from good agents acting on behalf of real, paying customers.

That's an opportunity — but it also raises a practical question for merchants. When a purchase is assisted or initiated by an agent, and something goes wrong, who authorized what? If a transaction ends in a dispute or chargeback, everyone in the payment chain needs visibility into what the agent was actually permitted to do.

In other words, consent and authorization are becoming as important as the card number itself.

 

AI can shop — but should it pay?

It's worth keeping this in perspective. Industry leaders are clear that AI shopping has arrived, but consumers are not yet fully handing autonomous agents the keys to their wallets. Visa's leadership has noted that while AI-assisted shopping is real and growing, true agent-initiated payments are still in an early phase.

For you as a merchant, that's actually good news. It means you have a window — right now — to get ready before agent-driven payments scale up. The businesses that build visibility and clear rules early will be the ones that turn this trend into revenue instead of risk.

 

What you can do today

You don't need to overhaul your business overnight. A few practical steps go a long way:

  1. Get visibility into your traffic. Work with a payment partner who can help you understand where transactions are coming from, not just how many you're processing.
  2. Tighten your fraud and dispute defenses. As authorization gets more complex, clear records of who approved what become essential for handling chargebacks.
  3. Keep the customer experience human where it counts. Agentic tools should make buying easier — not hand your customer relationship over to someone else.
  4. Choose a partner that keeps up with change. The payments landscape is moving fast. You want a processor that's watching these shifts so you don't have to.

 

The bottom line

Agentic commerce isn't a far-off prediction — it's already moving through merchant checkouts today, largely unseen. The 23% of merchants who can see it clearly have a real advantage: they can measure it, secure it, and grow with it. The rest are flying blind.

At TCB Pay, we pride ourselves on being a partner you can trust as the industry evolves. Whether you're processing your first online order or scaling across borders, we're here to help you stay secure, stay informed, and stay ahead.

 

 

 
Chris Free Demo with Chris

FAQs about Chargebacks

What is a chargeback?

A chargeback is a forced reversal of a card payment initiated by the cardholder’s bank rather than by the merchant. The funds are pulled back from the merchant and returned to the cardholder while the dispute is investigated. It differs from a refund, which the merchant issues directly.

Why do chargebacks spike during the World Cup?

Transaction volume, cross-border card-not-present payments, and impulse or emotional spending all rise at once during the World Cup. Both genuine fraud and buyer’s-remorse disputes climb alongside legitimate sales, often faster than a support team can keep up.

What is friendly fraud?

Friendly fraud, or first-party misuse, happens when a real cardholder disputes a purchase they actually made — often claiming they don’t recognize the charge or regretting an impulse buy. It is the most common chargeback type during major events and can only be beaten with clear records and evidence, not blocked outright.

What chargeback ratio is considered too high?

Card networks flag merchants whose monthly chargeback-to-transaction ratio climbs toward roughly 0.9% to 1.5%, depending on the network and program. Staying well below 1% helps you avoid monitoring programs and penalty fees. Always confirm the current thresholds with your processor, as they change periodically.

How can merchants prevent World Cup chargebacks?

Turn on layered verification (AVS, CVV, and 3-D Secure), use a clear billing descriptor, publish transparent refund and shipping policies, monitor transactions in real time, and use dispute alerts to refund questionable orders before they escalate into chargebacks.